This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. All Rights Reserved. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Not one! MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. Both campaigns have armies of attorneys at the ready for PA and other states. More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. Partly as a result of this eventual and near-universal color-coding, the terms "red states" and "blue states" entered popular use in the weeks after the 2000 presidential election. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. On Election Day, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Same for GA senate races Charlie. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. But Pennsylvania is now red. [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. Blue States No. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. State voted with the overall winning candidate. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023), List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF, Presidents Of The United States Of America In Chronological Order, Who Is The Secretary Of Defense In The United States, List Of US Senators State Wise (2023 Updated), List Of Airports In The US (United States) With IATA & ICAO, Secretary General Of The United Nations (2023 Updated), 250+ Measuring Devices And Instruments (2023 Updated), List Of All Social Networking Sites And Their Founders (2023), List Of All Commercial Airports In India (2023 Updated), List Of Prime Minister Of Italy (2023 Updated). Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . Press Enter to view state-level map. But What about Investing in Bonds? Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. You have to beware with these reports, though. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. And West Virginia is losing. (PA, GA, MI)". Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. 10. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) These are general election results for the years listed. Is Wisconsin a red state? The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. [41][note 1][42]. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Data: The Princeton Gerrymandering Project through 2018; 270toWin research. Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. Manage Settings Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. Idaho. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). Continue with Recommended Cookies. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) Error! Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: Not one! Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. Before Trump's 2016 win, the state voted. All Rights Reserved. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. 4, another 2020 red state. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. What are red and blue states? As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. #V. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. 2020 Electoral Map Results. Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. Holly Trump's team really focused on Biden's fracking comments for the last couple weeks, convinced that they could make all the difference in Pennsylvania. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. Vice versa for Montana. Anita What do you want to know? A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. So how does all that look visually? As such, a constitutional Republic form of government as the U.S. is (remember, America is not a democracy), could certainly be expected to vote for President Trump by an even wider gap in 2020. The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election Explained! We may not know results in PA fordays. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. Use arrow keys to move around the map. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. It is not a red state. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is between urban areas and inner suburbs and rural and exurban areas. List Of Blue States And Red States No. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . What determines a state's "color"? Electoral votes invalidated. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up.